Daily analysis of XAUUSD and trading tips

Gold forecast for December 25, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

On the H4 chart of XAUUSD, the market has completed an upward wave to the 4,525 level. Today, 26 December 2025, a corrective leg towards the 4,425 level is possible. After that, we will consider the probability of growth towards 4,555, with the prospect of the trend continuing towards 4,600.

Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the Elliott wave structure and the Matrix of the upward wave with a rotation centre at 4,275. This scenario is considered key for XAUUSD in this wave. At the moment, the market continues developing the fifth upward wave towards the upper boundary of the Price Envelope at 4,550. After reaching this level, we will consider the probability of a correction towards its central line at 4,425.

Technical indicators for today’s XAUUSD forecast indicate the probability of a correction towards 4,425 and subsequent growth towards 4,550.

Gold forecast for December 26, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

On the H4 chart of XAUUSD, the market has completed an upward wave to the 4,525 level. Today, 26 December 2025, a corrective leg towards the 4,425 level is possible. After that, we will consider the probability of growth towards 4,555, with the prospect of the trend continuing towards 4,600.

Technically, this scenario is confirmed by the Elliott wave structure and the Matrix of the upward wave with a rotation centre at 4,275. This scenario is considered key for XAUUSD in this wave. At the moment, the market continues developing the fifth upward wave towards the upper boundary of the Price Envelope at 4,550. After reaching this level, we will consider the probability of a correction towards its central line at 4,425.

Technical indicators for today’s XAUUSD forecast indicate the probability of a correction towards 4,425 and subsequent growth towards 4,550.

Gold forecast for December 29, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

On the H4 chart, XAUUSD has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, the price may develop a corrective downward wave as the pattern signal plays out. Given that XAUUSD remains within an ascending channel, the corrective target may be the support level at 4,465 USD.

At the same time, XAUUSD technical analysis for today also considers an alternative scenario, where prices extend the rally toward 4,600 USD without testing support.

The potential for continuation of the broader uptrend remains intact, and in the near term, XAUUSD prices may move toward the next psychological level at 4,800 USD.

Gold forecast for December 30, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

XAUUSD prices corrected after rebounding from the upper boundary of the bullish channel, but buyers have already managed to halt the decline. The price is stabilizing near the EMA-65 support, indicating a weakening of corrective pressure and increasing the probability of a new bullish impulse forming soon.

The XAUUSD forecast for today suggests a resumption of growth toward 4,515 USD. An additional argument in favor of further upside comes from the Stochastic Oscillator: its signal lines have turned down from the overbought area and are approaching the ascending support line, which often precedes renewed buying activity.

The technical outlook in favor of growth will improve further if prices achieve a sustained breakout above the 4,425 USD resistance. Such a scenario would confirm a break above the upper boundary of the descending corrective channel and create conditions for continued upside movement.

Gold forecast for January 5, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

At the end of last year, the short-term trend for gold changed to downward. The key support level of 4384-4368 was broken. Now the target for sales is the lower target zone of 4189-4153. At the moment, the price is trading in correction. On January 2, resistance A 4395 - 4384 was tested. The zone was held by sellers, resulting in the first sales target of 4335 being reached. However, the price did not reach the second target. As part of the correction, quotes have consolidated above resistance A and may reach resistance B 4472 - 4454. This zone is the trend boundary, from which new sales can be considered with the first target at 4373 and the second target at 4274.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Sell from resistance B 4472 - 4454. TakeProfit: 4373, 4274. StopLoss: 4507.

Gold forecast for January 6, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

Yesterday, the price of gold corrected upward. As part of the correction, the key resistance of the short-term downtrend 4472 - 4454 was reached. From this zone, sales can be considered with the first target at 4373 and the second target at around 4274. If the price consolidates above resistance B 4472 - 4454, the short-term trend will change to upward. In this case, it will be profitable to open purchases with a target in the upper target zone 4670 - 4634.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Sell from resistance B 4472 - 4454. TakeProfit: 4373, 4274. StopLoss: 4507.

Gold forecast for January 7, 2026: XAUUSD analysis 

Yesterday, gold buyers broke through resistance B at 4472-4454. However, today the price returned below this resistance. The short-term trend remains downward. Therefore, sales near resistance B can be considered with the first target at 4373 and the second at 4274. Confirmation is required to open sales. If, as a result of trading, yesterday's high is updated and the price consolidates above it, the trend will change to upward. In this case, it is profitable to consider buying the instrument with a target in the upper target zone of 4670-4634.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Sell near resistance B 4472-4454. TakeProfit: 4373, 4274. StopLoss: 4507.

Gold forecast for January 8, 2026: XAUUSD analysis 

 Gold is trading in a short-term downtrend. Key resistance at 4472-4454 is being held by sellers. Therefore, it is profitable to consider short positions with the first target at 4373 and the second target at the December 31 low of 4274. If resistance B is broken during trading, the trend will change to upward. In this case, you can consider buying the instrument with a target in the upper target zone of 4670-4634.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Sell near resistance B 4472-4454. TakeProfit: 4373, 4274. StopLoss: 4507.

Gold forecast for January 9, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

  Gold is testing resistance B 4472-4454 again. This resistance is the boundary of the short-term downtrend. Therefore, if it is held by sellers, the trend will continue with the first target at 4373 and the second target at 4274. If the price breaks below 4274, the next target will be the lower target zone of 4189-4153. An alternative scenario involves a breakout of resistance B to the upside. In this case, the short-term trend will change to an upward one. In an upward trend, purchases can be considered with the main target in the upper target zone of 4670-4634. 

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Sell near resistance B 4472-4454. TakeProfit: 4373, 4274. StopLoss: 4507.

Gold forecast for January 12, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

The short-term trend for gold has changed to upward. The price broke through resistance B 4472 - 4454 and consolidated above it. Now the growth target is the upper target zone 4670 - 4634. New purchases are profitable to consider on a correction from support A 4481 - 4469 and support B 4421 - 4403 with the first target at 4535, the second target at 4601.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4481 - 4469. TakeProfit: 4535, 4601. StopLoss: 4441.

Gold forecast for January 13, 2025: XAUUSD analysis

Yesterday, gold continued to rise. As a result, the price approached the target zone of 4670-4634. At the moment, there is a downward correction, and quotes may fall to support A 4510 - 4498. From this zone, you can consider buying with the first target at 4564 and the second target at 4630. If the price consolidates below support A, the correction will continue to support B 4450 - 4432. This zone is the trend boundary, from which purchases can also be considered with a maximum target of 4630.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4510 - 4498. TakeProfit: 4564, 4630. StopLoss: 4467.

Gold forecast for January 14, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

 The price of gold is rising and reaching the upper target zone of 4670-4634 as part of a short-term uptrend. If the price consolidates even higher, the next growth target will be the golden zone of 4766-4754. If the target zone is held by sellers, a downward correction will begin, and quotes may test support at 4519-4507. From this zone, it will be profitable to consider buying again with the main target at today's high of 4639.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4519 - 4507. TakeProfit: 4574, 4639. StopLoss: 4478.

Gold forecast for January 15, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

 After reaching the target zone of 4670-4634, the growth in quotes stopped. Today, a downward correction began, and the price may fall to support A 4522-4510. After testing this zone, it will be profitable to consider new purchases with the first target at 4577 and the second target at 4642. If yesterday's high is updated during trading, quotes may break through the upper target zone of 4670-4634. In this case, growth will continue towards the golden zone of 4766-4754.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4522 - 4510. TakeProfit: 4577, 4642. StopLoss: 4481.

Gold forecast for January 16, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

Gold is trading in a short-term uptrend. This week, the upper target zone of 4670-4634 was reached. Buyers were unable to break through it, and as a result, the price fell. If the correction continues, quotes may fall to support A 4522 - 4510. After testing this zone, it will be profitable to consider new purchases with the first target at 4577 and the second target at 4642. If support A is broken down during trading, the correction will continue to support B 4462 - 4444. This zone is the trend boundary, and it will also be possible to consider purchases from it.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4522 - 4510. TakeProfit: 4577, 4642. StopLoss: 4481.

Gold forecast for January 19, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

  Trading opened with a gap today, with the price updating last week's high. Quotes rose from EMA 190, a dynamic support level. Most likely, buyers will try to break through the target zone of 4670-4634. If the price consolidates above, the next growth target will be the golden zone of 4766-4754. If the target zone is held by sellers, the price will go into correction. As part of the correction, quotes may fall to support A 4570 - 4558, from this zone it will be possible to consider new purchases with the first target at 4624 and the second target at 4690.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4570 - 4558. TakeProfit: 4624, 4690. StopLoss: 4527.

Gold forecast for January 21, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

Gold prices continued to rise today. As a result, the price reached Target Zone 2, 4898 - 4874. If the price consolidates above this level, the next buying target will be Gold Zone 2, 5006 - 4994. If Target Zone 2 is held by sellers, a downward correction will begin, and the price will fall to support A 4768 - 4756. After testing support A, new purchases can be considered with the first target at 4822 and the second target at 4888.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4768 - 4756. TakeProfit: 4822, 4888. StopLoss: 4725.

Gold forecast for January 22, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

Yesterday, the price of gold corrected downward. During the correction, support at 4768-4756 was reached during the US trading session. The zone was held by buyers. Then the price rose and reached the first buy target around 4822. The next growth target is the level of 4888, which is located within the upper target zone of 4898 - 4874. If the price consolidates above, the growth may continue to the golden zone of 5006 - 4994. Key trend support is shifting to the 4708 - 4690 marks. New purchases can be considered from this area.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Hold part of purchases from support A 4768 - 4756. TakeProfit: 4888. StopLoss: break-even.

Gold forecast for January 23, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

The short-term uptrend in gold continued yesterday. As a result, the second buy target from support A 4768 - 4756 was reached, i.e. the level of 4888. The price has consolidated above Target Zone 2, 4898 - 4874, and the next target for purchases is Gold Zone 2, 5006 - 4994. New purchases can be considered on a correction from support A 4847 - 4835. The main growth target will be the high for the current week.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4847 - 4835. TakeProfit: 4901, 4967. StopLoss: 4805.

Gold forecast for January 26, 2026: XAUUSD analysis

Gold trading opened with a gap, and the short-term uptrend continued. The price consolidated above the Golden Zone 2, 5006 - 4994 and reached the Target Zone 3, 5138 - 5114. If the growth continues, the next target for purchases will be the Gold Zone 3, 5246 - 5234. If the Target Zone is held by sellers, a downward correction will begin. In this case, the price may fall to support A 4991 - 4979. From this zone, it will be profitable to consider new purchases with the first target at 5045 and the second target at 5111.

Trading decisions for XAUUSD today: Buy from support A 4991 - 4979. TakeProfit: 5045, 5111. StopLoss: 4949.