ADP hints at another strong NFP on Friday

Expert market comment made by senior analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: ADP hints at another strong NFP on Friday
FxPro | 861 days ago

The monthly ADP labour market report showed that America created 192K new jobs in April, above the forecasted 179K and following +208K in March (revised from 184K).

Overall, there was a slight slowdown in wage growth to 5% y/y from 5.1% a month earlier, which is still quite high because of high employment and the impressive pace of job creation by historical measures.

The report noted weakness in the information sector, which cut jobs and slowed wage growth. When broken down by company size, large companies with more than 500 employees contributed the largest portion (+98K).

When broken down by industry, Construction surprised (+35K), which is huge for an industry that makes up only 5% of the labour force. Among services, Leisure and hospitality (+56K) led the way once again.

The ADP report fuelled expectations of a strong Friday's official statistics. Still, its impact on the market is tempered by the market's focus on today's FOMC meeting and the decline in predictive power in recent months.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

FxPro
Type: NDD
Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
S&P 500 Stepped From Record Highs, but Market Breadth Is Flashing a Warning 💥

S&P 500 Stepped From Record Highs, but Market Breadth Is Flashing a Warning 💥

S&P 500 stepped from recent record highs, but its internal strength is deteriorating as fewer constituents hold above their 50-day averages. With September seasonality, elevated yields and Fed uncertainty creating near-term risks, market breadth is flashing caution. Yet a stronger fourth quarter and pre-election positioning could provide the next bullish catalyst.
Headway | 14h 36min ago
Dollar slips, yen surges as Middle East tensions escalate

Dollar slips, yen surges as Middle East tensions escalate

Oil rally persists, as military operations in the Middle East resume; Dollar fails to benefit from risk-off; euro/dollar rises towards 1.1650; Yen gains continue, courtesy of Bessent’s commentary, but move looks stretched; Equities remain in limbo, edging lower; gold bounces off $4,400;
XM Group | 18h 50min ago
Oil Surge Pressures US Stocks as Markets Await Inflation Data

Oil Surge Pressures US Stocks as Markets Await Inflation Data

🛢️ Iran targets US Navy vessels, US strikes Iranian tankers near Kharg Island — Brent approaches $100 at $99.05, WTI at $94.04. Oil +8% in September. Dow drops 628 points. Goldman raises December Brent forecast to $85. JPY strengthens on BoJ hike bets. ADP and Lagarde speech due today.
CPT Markets | 18h 51min ago