Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation

Expert market comment made by Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation
FxPro | 468 days ago

Americans' incomes continue to rise sharply without fuelling inflation

Household personal income in the US rose by 0.8% in April, following increases of 0.7% and 0.8% in the previous couple of months. This is the fourth consecutive month that the figure has exceeded analysts' average expectations, which were 0.3% this time. Meanwhile, we have become accustomed to the much more modest spending increase of 0.2% last month. Consequently, a growing proportion of income is being saved, reaching 4.9%, close to the 25-year average of 5.6%. This normalisation has been made possible by the slowdown in inflation, but it is also contributing to a further slowdown.

For example, the core personal spending price index slowed to 2.5% year-on-year, a four-year low. The data matched expectations, maintaining the slowdown trend and steadily approaching the Fed's 2% target. As the data was as expected, there was no sharp immediate reaction from the stock or currency markets. However, this news should reinforce the dovish stance of Fed members and bring the date of the next rate cut closer, as it has been moving further away since last November.

By the FxPro Analyst Team

FxPro
Type: NDD
Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
Dollar gains as US PPI data bolster Fed hike bets

Dollar gains as US PPI data bolster Fed hike bets

US PPI data strengthens September hike chance - Dollar rises ahead of today’s US CPI numbers - ECB remains hawkish but euro struggles against the dollar - Stocks and gold pull back amid strong dollar and higher yields
XM Group | 2h 17min ago