EURUSD tries to break the downtrend

Expert market comment from Alex Kuptsikevich of the FxPro Analyst Team: EURUSD tries to break the downtrend
FxPro | 1415 days ago

EURUSD tries to break the downtrend

The EURUSD continues to draw an almost perfect downward trend. Since the end of February, the 50-day moving average has repeatedly acted as resistance. This week we see another test of this line, which has fallen to the area of 0.9900.

It is still difficult to find hard data supporting a reversal, but there is no such thing as a no-trend in the key currency pairs, so forex traders are keeping a close eye on various reversal signals.

On Tuesday, the EURUSD broke above 0.99, where the 50-day moving average is located. And now all eyes are on whether it will manage to stay above this signal line.

ve a local rising trend that has been formed in the pair since the end of September. The daily charts clearly show how the buyers support the EUR from higher and higher levels.

Another important signal of a trend break is the 1.0 level, which is a psychologically crucial round level, the area of the highs in early October and a significant support area from mid-July to the end of September.

A return of the EURUSD above parity would signal a strong start of a full-scale correction (at least), with a potential target of 1.06 (61.8% of the May 2021-September 2022 decline). This is also a significant breakout area for the pair in March 2020 and May-June 2022.

 

By the FxPro Analyst Team 

FxPro
Type: NDD
Regulation: FCA (UK), SCB (The Bahamas)
read more
US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

Tensions escalated as the U.S. and Iran engaged in the largest maritime exchange in six months near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude above $100/bbl. U.S. equities remained under pressure, Treasury yields rose even after the Treasury tripled long‑term bond buybacks, and a softer dollar supported gold.
ATFX | 34 minutes ago
US Treasury Triples Long-Term Bond Buyback Size

US Treasury Triples Long-Term Bond Buyback Size

🚨 Iran attacks 10 vessels near Hormuz after US sinks 5 Iranian tankers — biggest shipping clash of the conflict. Brent tops $100 to $101.21, WTI at $96.05. Goldman warns $120 oil possible. 10Y yields hit 4.85%, highest since Nov 2023. Gold rises 1.5% to $4,418. ECB hikes 25bps today. PPI due.
CPT Markets | 2h 21min ago
The euro is banking on the ECB

The euro is banking on the ECB

The euro is rising on expectations of an ECB tightening cycle, but Lagarde’s cautious stance and a possible decline in US Treasury yields could trigger a sell-off in EURUSD.
FxPro | 1 day ago
Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

US markets were closed yesterday for a bank holiday, limiting overall market activity. The US dollar weakened as the Japanese yen surged, while crude oil extended gains amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Iran warned it could target energy infrastructure across the region if the US launches further attacks on Iranian assets.
ATFX | 2 days ago
EUR/USD Holds Its Rising Channel as 1.1641 Breakout Awaits ECB and U.S. CPI

EUR/USD Holds Its Rising Channel as 1.1641 Breakout Awaits ECB and U.S. CPI

EUR/USD is trading around 1.1626 inside a rising 4-hour channel that has developed from the September swing low near 1.1584. Price remains above the rising 200-period WMA near 1.1597 and has recovered above the Bollinger basis, preserving the short-term sequence of higher reaction lows. The setup is constructive, but not yet impulsive.
Errante | 2 days ago
Gold, EURUSD, OIL

Gold, EURUSD, OIL

US CPI data Set to Dictate Gold’s direction; ECB rate decision and EURUSD: Policy guidance in focus; Middle East conflict elevate WTI Crude oil
XM Group | 2 days ago