Event Preview: The Federal Reserve Rate Decision -  28 January 2026

What’s expected and why: The Fed is anticipated to leave the rate unchanged. There’s a little debate around the decision itself - expectations are fully priced in.
Headway | 281 hari yang lalu

What’s expected and why

🔹The Fed is anticipated to leave the rate unchanged.

🔹There’s a little debate around the decision itself - expectations are fully priced in.

Market focus

The real driver for the market will be the guidance. The items of the guidance are the timing and the pace of future rate cuts.  The market will focus on two key elements:

Tone of statement:

🔹Hawkish - inflation risks are still elevated, monetary policy needs to stay restrictive.

🔹Dovish - officials are confident that inflation is under control.

J.Powell’s press conference:

🔹Any mentioning the optional rate cuts or the growth risk will matter.

🔹The market will also try to read between the lines - what the Chair has not said about.

XAUUSD Technical Levels and Scenarios

Current Support:      $5,180 

Current Resistance: $5,300

Gold remains within a strong bullish structure. Momentum is positive, but the Fed will surely cause a heightened volatility in the metal.

🔹If the Fed is dovish, gold might break above recent highs and extend the trend.

🔹If it stays neutral, consolidation and range trading are possible. The structure remains the same, but the trend move will pause.

🔹With hawkish terms, the price is likely to break the current support, aiming toward $5,080.

EURUSD Technical Levels and Scenarios

Current Support:      1.19000. 

Current Resistance: 1.20500

EURUSD is trading within a constructive upward channel, supported primarily by the US dollar’s weakness rather than the euro’s strength.

🔹The dovish Fed will push the pair higher.

🔹The neutral Fed will cause sideways consolidation above the current support, the trend remains intact.

🔹And the hawkish regulator might cause a sustained break below trend support toward 1.18000. However, holding the current support line will keep the bullish structure alive.

Expect volatility spikes after 21:00 MMT and trade with Headway

Headway
Tipe: STP, ECN
Regulasi: FSCA (South Africa)
baca selengkapnya
Tech Stocks Lead US Selloff Ahead of Payrolls

Tech Stocks Lead US Selloff Ahead of Payrolls

AI-related shares led the worst US equity session since 2020 as investors feared tighter oversight of AI and data-center buildout following the midterm results; Truist called it a “buyers’ strike in tech.” The selloff is spreading beyond Wall Street: Korean chipmakers fell about 10% before the open, the Kospi dropped below 5,000, CoreWeave’s five-year credit default swap widened to a record
ATFX | 6 jam 33 menit yang lalu
Dollar Steady as Yen Gains Ahead of US Payrolls Report

Dollar Steady as Yen Gains Ahead of US Payrolls Report

📉 Nasdaq posts steepest one-day drop since April 2025 on AI scrutiny fears after Democratic sweep. Yen hits 1-week high at 157.40, DXY steady at 101.55, 2Y yield falls 10bps to 4.47%. Gold recovers to $4,100, December hike odds drop to 70%. Oil market tips toward surplus as Brent swaps hit contango. NFP due today.
CPT Markets | 9 jam 54 menit yang lalu
The euro has spread its wings

The euro has spread its wings

The euro is rising as oil and the dollar fall: eurozone inflation at 4% raises the odds of an ECB rate hike, while a cooling US economy gives the Fed a reason not to rush.
FxPro | 1 hari yang lalu
Democrats' Midterm Victory Sends Dollar and Oil Lower

Democrats' Midterm Victory Sends Dollar and Oil Lower

🗳️ Democrats win both chambers — DXY slips to 101.41, euro rises to $1.1241. Brent falls a 4th session to $93.65 after an 8%+ drop, lowest since Aug 31. Gold back above $4,000. December Fed hike odds at 81.2%. BoE expected to hike to 4% today, first rise since 2023. NFP due Friday.
CPT Markets | 1 hari yang lalu