GBP/USD consolidates near October lows

GBPUSD stuck in a range after steep decline pauses - Creates a pennant pattern, hinting at potential breakout - Oscillators suggest that positive momentum is slowly picking up
XM Group | 1044 days ago

GBPUSD had been forming a profound structure of lower highs and lower lows since its 18-month peak of 1.3141. Although the pair managed to find its feet at the seven-month low of 1.2036, it has been rangebound for almost a month, failing to stage a solid recovery.

Should buying interest intensify, the recent resistance of 1.2288 could act as the first barrier for the bulls to clear. Surpassing that zone, the price could advance towards the October peak of 1.2336. A break above that level could open the door for the December-January resistance zone of 1.2445, which lies close to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).

Alternatively, if the price moves lower, initial declines could cease around the 1.2090 support territory. Failing to halt there, the pair may challenge the seven-month low of 1.2036. Even lower, the March bottom of 1.1800 could provide downside protection.

In brief, GBPUSD remains a prisoner within its tight range, appearing unable to erase part of its steep retreat. However, the pair has been forming a pennant in the short term, raising the odds for a breakout move towards either direction.

XM Group
Type: Market Maker
Regulation: FSA (Seychelles), FSC (British Virgin Islands), CySEC (Cyprus), FSC (Belize), DFSA (UAE), FSCA (South Africa), FSC (Mauritius), CMA (Kenya)
read more
US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

Tensions escalated as the U.S. and Iran engaged in the largest maritime exchange in six months near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude above $100/bbl. U.S. equities remained under pressure, Treasury yields rose even after the Treasury tripled long‑term bond buybacks, and a softer dollar supported gold.
ATFX | 22 minutes ago
Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

US markets were closed yesterday for a bank holiday, limiting overall market activity. The US dollar weakened as the Japanese yen surged, while crude oil extended gains amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Iran warned it could target energy infrastructure across the region if the US launches further attacks on Iranian assets.
ATFX | 2 days ago
US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

U.S. and Canadian markets are closed for the holidays. With investors digesting nonfarm data and Middle East tensions high, traders should watch for unusual price swings amid low liquidity. Eurozone Q2 GDP is expected to be 0.4%, which could affect Thursday’s ECB meeting.
ATFX | 3 days ago
Fed Remarks Dampen Rate Hike Hopes Ahead of NFP Release

Fed Remarks Dampen Rate Hike Hopes Ahead of NFP Release

The U.S. August Nonfarm Payrolls report will be released tonight, the last major employment report before the Fed’s September meeting. Markets expect payrolls to rise by 58,000 (previous: -23,000), unemployment to remain at 4.1%, and average hourly earnings to increase 0.3% m/m (previous: 0.1%). The data could significantly impact rate expectations and market volatility.
ATFX | 6 days ago
Global Bond Selloff, Eyes on Central Banks & US ADP

Global Bond Selloff, Eyes on Central Banks & US ADP

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada announce rate decisions in succession. This morning, the RBNZ raised rates by 25 basis points as expected; the BoC continues to balance slowing domestic growth against inflation pressures, with rates expected to remain unchanged. US ADP employment data (forecast 48K, previous 44K) will serve as a preview for Friday’s official Nonfarm Payrolls.
ATFX | 8 days ago