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Kiwi Stabilises as Rate Hike Expectations Rise
The NZD/USD held near 0.602 after rebounding from a two-week low, as traders balanced weak labour data against rising expectations of a rate hike later in 2026.
VT Markets
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212 days ago
The New Zealand dollar steadied around 0.602 in early Asian trading after recovering from a two-week low of 0.593, signalling resilience despite mixed domestic data. While the unemployment rate climbed to a decade high of 4.4%, employment growth surprised to the upside, complicating the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy outlook.
Traders are increasingly focused on inflation and growth dynamics rather than labour market softness alone. With inflation still above the RBNZ’s target range and signs of economic recovery emerging, market pricing has shifted. Swaps now reflect a roughly 70% probability of a rate hike by September 2026, well ahead of the central bank’s own guidance pointing to mid-2027.
Read more on how shifting rate expectations and technical levels are shaping the Kiwi’s next move in this article.
VT Markets
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Technical Outlook on USD/JPY, NZD/USD, GOLD
USD/JPY jumps to 160 as rate hike bets strengthen and US-Iran military attacks resume. NZD/USD tests key support as RBNZ expected to increase rates again. Gold gives up gains as geopolitical risks and Fed rate hike outlook favor the dollar.
XM Group
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9 days ago
Central Bank Expectations Take Center Stage as Markets Await Jackson Hole | 27th August, 2026
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Moneta Markets
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13 days ago
NZDUSD Tests 0.60 as Dollar Weakness Supports Kiwi Recovery
NZDUSD rises towards three-month highs as US dollar weakness supports the New Zealand dollar, while traders monitor Treasury yields and RBNZ policy expectations.
VT Markets
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16 days ago
Major Currencies Diverge as Economic Data Drives Shifting Market Sentiment | 20th August, 2026
Currency markets diverged as domestic fundamentals drove price action. Weak Australian employment data pressured AUD, while Japan’s widening trade deficit weighed on JPY. EUR and GBP eased as the Dollar stabilized, though softer Fed expectations limited losses. NZD outperformed near 0.5950, supported by hawkish RBNZ expectations and stable Chinese policy.
Moneta Markets
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20 days ago
Markets Turn Defensive Ahead of FOMC Minutes as Geopolitical Risks Persist | 19th August, 2026
Markets turned defensive ahead of the FOMC Minutes as US-Iran tensions supported the Dollar above 99.50. NZD and AUD weakened, while USD/CAD consolidated amid competing oil, yield and trade factors. Sterling faces added volatility from UK inflation data. The Fed Minutes, UK CPI and geopolitical developments are the key catalysts for the next market move.
Moneta Markets
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21 days ago
Oil Prices Rise as US-Iran Deadlock Supports Commodity Markets | 17th August, 2026
Oil prices climbed above $81.50 as the US-Iran diplomatic deadlock kept supply concerns elevated. Meanwhile, fading Fed rate-hike expectations pressured the US Dollar toward 99.50, supporting CAD, NZD and JPY. NZD/USD reached its highest since early June, while higher oil strengthened CAD. US-Iran developments and Fed signals remain the key catalysts.
Moneta Markets
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23 days ago
Markets Turn Cautious Ahead of US NFP as Geopolitical Risks Persist | 7th August, 2026
Markets remained cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, with the Dollar steady near 100.00 as investors assessed Fed rate expectations and geopolitical risks. Gold consolidated, while Silver stayed bullish near $62.20. The Australian and New Zealand Dollars remained under pressure as traders awaited NFP, wage growth, and unemployment data for direction.
Moneta Markets
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33 days ago
August 4, 2026: S&P 500 Rally, Yen After Intervention, and Oil After the Crash
US stocks surge to records as oil rebounds from a 7% crash, and Iran denies talks. Yen holds gains near the 155.00 line as intervention risk lingers; the dollar sits near two-month lows. Key levels for S&P 500, USD/JPY, and Brent, plus today's JOLTS and trade balance data that could reshape Fed rate expectations.
Born2trade
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36 days ago
