USDJPY hits 7-month lows: recovery or bear trap?

USDJPY hit a 7-month low at 152.88! Oversold #Stochastic hints at a temporary bounce to 155.20 resistance, but RSI < 30 & a bearish SMA cross target 154.00 & 152.30. Invalidation above 155.80.

Overview: USDJPY has plummeted, carving out a fresh seven-month low at 152.88. Following this aggressive sell-off, a temporary bounce is anticipated before the broader short-term downtrend resumes.

Momentum: Both the RSI and the Stochastic oscillators are reinforcing the negative outlook, the 20- and 200-day SMAs are nearing a bearish cross.

Bearish Scenario: A short-term relief rally looks likely to recover lost ground, potentially retesting resistance near 155.20 before price pulls back toward the 154.00 psychological support. A breakdown below this level opens the door to the February low at 152.30.

Risk: A sustained rally above the long-term uptrend line near 155.80 would invalidate the bearish outlook.

XM Group
Type: Market Maker
Regulation: FSA (Seychelles), FSC (British Virgin Islands), CySEC (Cyprus), FSC (Belize), DFSA (UAE), FSCA (South Africa), FSC (Mauritius), CMA (Kenya)
read more
US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

Tensions escalated as the U.S. and Iran engaged in the largest maritime exchange in six months near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude above $100/bbl. U.S. equities remained under pressure, Treasury yields rose even after the Treasury tripled long‑term bond buybacks, and a softer dollar supported gold.
ATFX | 6h 30min ago
Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

US markets were closed yesterday for a bank holiday, limiting overall market activity. The US dollar weakened as the Japanese yen surged, while crude oil extended gains amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Iran warned it could target energy infrastructure across the region if the US launches further attacks on Iranian assets.
ATFX | 2 days ago
US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

U.S. and Canadian markets are closed for the holidays. With investors digesting nonfarm data and Middle East tensions high, traders should watch for unusual price swings amid low liquidity. Eurozone Q2 GDP is expected to be 0.4%, which could affect Thursday’s ECB meeting.
ATFX | 3 days ago
The dollar is in no hurry to gain ground

The dollar is in no hurry to gain ground

A blowout NFP of 162K failed to lift the dollar as markets held Fed hike bets at 60% and awaited August inflation data. Japan's likely Treasury selling added pressure on yields, while gold weakened as rising real rates undermined the debasement trade.
FxPro | 3 days ago