GBPUSD Analysis: Recovery Intact as Bulls Eye 1.3600

GBPUSD is transitioning from a prolonged downtrend into a recovery phase, with higher highs and higher lows. This analysis highlights key support, resistance, and near-term breakout and pullback scenarios. Click or tap to read more.

GBPUSD Technical Outlook - January 13, 2026

In this analysis, Ultima Markets takes a closer look at GBPUSD price action, highlighting the evolving trend structure, key technical levels, and potential scenarios across multiple timeframes.

 

GBPUSD Daily Chart Overview

Technical Analysis of GBPUSD

 

The daily chart shows a clear shift from the prolonged downtrend seen between mid-September and November into a developing recovery phase. After forming a solid base around 1.3035, their pair moved into a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, placing GBPUSD in a constructive, buy-on-dips structure.

 

While near-term momentum has turned corrective, the broader setup remains positive as long as 1.3400 support holds. A period of sideways consolidation is likely while momentum indicators reset, before the next attempt higher toward the 1.3600 resistance zone.

 

Key Levels

Resistance

The immediate resistance range lies on the 1.3550 - 1.3620 level from late December and early January highs. The major resistance zone falls between the 1.3685 - 1.3718 area from September peaks, where a break would confirm a broader trend reversal.

 

Support

The key support area can be found in the 1.3400 - 1.3450 area, aligned with the medium-term moving average. For secondary support, 1.3280 - 1.3340 levels should be considered near the long-term moving average. Major base and multi-month lows lie at the 1.3035 - 1.3080 area, acting as the final support zone.

 

GBPUSD 2-Hour Chart Perspective

Technical Analysis of GBPUSD

 

On the H2 timeframe, the trend remains tilted to the upside, although upside progress is beginning to ease price consolidation around the 1.3470 area. The pair continues to trade above the moving average cluster, suggesting buyers are still in control, but immediate resistance is limiting further gains for now.

 

Scenario Breakdown

Bullish Continuation

A clean break and close above 1.3500 would confirm trend continuation and open the path toward a retest of 1.3560. A reset and turn higher in Stochastic would add conviction to this move.

 

Bearish Pullback

A break and close below 1.3440 would weaken the recovery structure, signalling that the recent advance may have been a temporary relief rally, with scope for a move back toward 1.3390.

 

GBPUSD Pivot Structure

Technical Analysis of GBPUSD

 

The intraday structure continues to favour the upside, with the broader bias still pointing higher. However, momentum is stretched and the Stochastic is overbought, making aggressive buying near the 1.3480 higher risk.

 

A more balanced approach would be to look for either support to hold at 1.3460 or a decisive breakout above 1.3485 before entering new long positions.

 

Intraday Scenarios

Bullish Breakout

A 30-minute close above 1.3485 would signal trend continuation, targeting 1.3500 initially, followed by 1.3520.

 

Bearish Breakdown

A 30-minute close below 1.3450 would suggest exhaustion, opening the door to a deeper pullback toward 1.3420.

 

Navigating the Forex Market with Ultima Markets

Navigating and trading in the forex markets requires clarity, discipline, and access to reliable insights. Ultima Markets is committed to providing data-driven analysis to support informed trading decisions.

 

Join Ultima Markets today and stay connected with us by following us on social media for the latest news, events, and product updates. Visit UM Academy and access unlimited educational trading resources to help you master the markets.

 

—–

 

Legal Documents

Trading leveraged derivative products carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can magnify both gains and losses, potentially resulting in rapid and substantial capital loss. Before trading, carefully assess your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. If you are uncertain, seek advice from a licenced financial adviser. Leveraged products are not intended for inexperienced investors who do not fully understand the risks or who are unable to bear the possibility of significant losses.

 

Copyright © 2025 Ultima Markets Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Disclaimer

Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.

Ultima Markets
Type: STP, ECN, Cent
Regulation: FCA (UK), CySEC (Cyprus), FSCA (South Africa), FSC (Mauritius)
read more
US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

Tensions escalated as the U.S. and Iran engaged in the largest maritime exchange in six months near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing Brent crude above $100/bbl. U.S. equities remained under pressure, Treasury yields rose even after the Treasury tripled long‑term bond buybacks, and a softer dollar supported gold.
ATFX | 16h 59min ago
Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

Yen Hits 6-Month High, Volatility Returns After North American Holiday.

US markets were closed yesterday for a bank holiday, limiting overall market activity. The US dollar weakened as the Japanese yen surged, while crude oil extended gains amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Iran warned it could target energy infrastructure across the region if the US launches further attacks on Iranian assets.
ATFX | 2 days ago
US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

US Payrolls Hit 5-Month High as Markets Await CPI This Week.

U.S. and Canadian markets are closed for the holidays. With investors digesting nonfarm data and Middle East tensions high, traders should watch for unusual price swings amid low liquidity. Eurozone Q2 GDP is expected to be 0.4%, which could affect Thursday’s ECB meeting.
ATFX | 3 days ago
Fed Remarks Dampen Rate Hike Hopes Ahead of NFP Release

Fed Remarks Dampen Rate Hike Hopes Ahead of NFP Release

The U.S. August Nonfarm Payrolls report will be released tonight, the last major employment report before the Fed’s September meeting. Markets expect payrolls to rise by 58,000 (previous: -23,000), unemployment to remain at 4.1%, and average hourly earnings to increase 0.3% m/m (previous: 0.1%). The data could significantly impact rate expectations and market volatility.
ATFX | 6 days ago
Global Bond Selloff, Eyes on Central Banks & US ADP

Global Bond Selloff, Eyes on Central Banks & US ADP

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada announce rate decisions in succession. This morning, the RBNZ raised rates by 25 basis points as expected; the BoC continues to balance slowing domestic growth against inflation pressures, with rates expected to remain unchanged. US ADP employment data (forecast 48K, previous 44K) will serve as a preview for Friday’s official Nonfarm Payrolls.
ATFX | 8 days ago