Yen Surges as Election Win Weighs on Dollar

The yen rallied sharply after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s landslide win, while weak US data and rate cut expectations pushed USD/JPY below 153 ahead of key jobs data.
VT Markets | 211 days ago

The Japanese yen extended its rally, driving USD/JPY down nearly 1% to 152.877, as markets reacted to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decisive election victory. The result reduced fiscal uncertainty and boosted confidence in Japan’s policy direction, triggering gains in both the yen and Japanese government bonds.

With a stronger political mandate in place, investors expect more disciplined fiscal management, lowering the likelihood of aggressive stimulus. This shift has strengthened the yen at a time when the US dollar is already under pressure.

The greenback weakened further after softer US retail sales and slowing labour cost growth raised doubts about economic momentum. Markets now expect around 60 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, with traders positioning cautiously ahead of the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report.

Read more on how Japan’s election outcome and shifting Fed expectations are driving USD/JPY’s next move in this article.

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US Yields Rise Despite Buybacks; Eyes on ECB Hike

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